Some thoughts on Canada

Canada are weak in the wide areas and in the absence of quality outside backs coach John Herdman will have to provide more cover for Wilkinson and Sesselmann.
When Chapman and Zurrer are available, Herdman may consider using Moscato as Schmidt’s partner at holding midfield and Matheson and Parker playing wider.
Schmidt has good potential. Her composure and positional sense will be important for Canada. She is demonstrating ability to identify and plug the gaps that the opponents seek to exploit.
Contrary to what Carolina Morace believed, Canada’s best chance for international success in the next 4 years will be based on what Herdman build with New Zealand: developing reliable organization based on total commitment of young and fit players, constant runs, restless pressing, team spirit.
At this point in time Canada appears better suited to playing 4-5-1 with Sinclair as a lone striker. Playing with five midfielders would provide better protection defensively, lead to more imaginative football and it would allow Parker and Matheson do what they do best, free interchange and support of Sinclair.
Herdman has a decent squad at his disposal and Canada should move forward with him leading.

USA 3:0 Canada

Canada put up a good fight and rode their luck at times in Portland last night but in the end USA exposed their flaws. With the Canadian midfield not putting enough pressure on the ball and lapses in concentration, the US defeated Canada3:0 (2 goals from Wambach and 1 from Morgan).
From the opening whistle USA monopolized possession and Boxx, Lindsey and later Cheney were permitted to sit deep, receive, connect with Rapinoe, Rodriguez and O’Reilly and dictate. In the first 45 Rapinoe had easy time as Canadians didn’t know how to deal with her and who should pick her up.
Given time to develop, Rapinoe can become effective in her withdrawn striker role, playing between the lines.
Playing Rodriguez, whose strength is her pace and movement off the shoulder of the last defender, on the left side is an experiment. To be effective there long-term, Rodriguez will need to dramatically improve her service or future opponents will recognize her tendency to come inside, and her impact will be minimized.
Pia Sundhage’s willingness to give young talent opportunity to play is encouraging. Heath, O’Hara, Morgan, Cheney and others are the future and with each match they are gaining confidence and are making it difficult for veteran players to claim their place in the starting 11.
One additional player, who could benefit from playing in international friendlies is Engen. Athletic, she needs to learn when to go tight and when to drop off but in the post-2012 she could make a good center back partner for Sauerbrunn. Giving her experience now, will only benefit USA in the future.

USA 1:1 Canada

Pia Sundhage introduced new center midfield pairing of Lauren Cheney and Carli Lloyd but both were devoid of ideas and Cheney was guilty of losing possession to Kelly Parker who set up Canada’s goal. Inconsistent Lloyd gave away possession in the danger area and Canada’s Lauren Sesselamann should have done better having been set-up by Chelsea Stewart with 2 minutes left, but her shot was high.
Tactically not much can be read from this match as Sundhage appeared to simply ensure that all regulars got plenty of playing time. It will at some point benefit the US to place more play-making responsibilities on Tobin Heath. She is a rare American player with ability, vision, movement and mobility.

Canada’s new head coach John Herdman must be encouraged by what he saw from his players. Carmelina Moscato, who was shockingly overlooked by Moracce, settled into a new-look central defensive partnership alongside Emily Zurer, and looked solid as the match progressed. Moscato was steady but must improve distribution and occasionally looked short of match fitness. She looks good enough to improve Canada at either center back or center midfield.
Canada’s Kaylyn Kyle and Christina Julien looked like they need more time before they can become effective players at this level.

Philadelphia v WNY

On paper WNY may have a better squad than Philadelphia but in Paul Riley Philly have an astute coach who knows how to setup his teams.
Philadelphia will get an opportunity to show that teams with the biggest stars but average tactically, will not always beat well organized teams, such as Philadelphia is. With commitment, pressing, running, and clinical finishing, Philadelphia do have a chance of upsetting Marta & Co.
The title match, I believe, will be decided by three things, the midfield battle, Seger vs. Buczkowski, and how Riley chooses to defend flank play.

I expect that Riley’s match plan will be to stay compact, defend low, to have outside midfielders track back to help defend in the wide low areas, and to play WNY on the counter.
Marta is an ace and containing her will be priority one. As a full-back you try to make your opponent do what she doesn’t like to do. If she likes to go down the wing, you’ll cut off the room out wide and force her inside. With Marta its different. Show her outside and she’s got the pace to beat you; show her inside and she will combine and create problems. Riley, I expect, will use the full-back and midfielder in tandem to protect Johnson and to contain Marta. If Marta does get the ball, the midfielder comes across so the space both inside and outside Marta can be closed down. He will probably do the same on opposite side to protect Robinson.
One aspect of the way WNY 3 forwards play, which may help Philly, is that they tend go inside and to play narrow. Next weekend if WNY isolates Marta in wider areas, it could be a long day for Johnson and for Philly defenders.

The Independence midfield will need to aggressively press Bock, Seger and Edwards and compress space. Buczkowski will probably have the responsibility to track Seger and is good enough to contain her. Seger, when WNY in possession, has a free role and makes frequent runs into opponents penalty box. She also combines well with Sinclair and will need extra attention from Buczkowski. Edwards and Bock are support midfielders and are available to receive but are much more conservative. Buquete will need to be helped by one of the forwards in putting Bock and Edwards under pressure. If Philadelphia just let WNY midfield 3 monopolize possession in front of them, Philly will be in trouble.

Going forward, Philly will have to depend on Di Martino penetrating down the flank and on Buquete delivering balls for Rodriguez to attack.
WNY’s attack-minded Ali Riley loves to go upfield and join in quickly and she has proved herself a threat going forward. But that creates openings. Rodriguez will need discipline to make make her runs, drifting out from center to the right. That way she can exploit the space Riley vacates.
Buquete, Rodriguez and Kai have the ability to combine and to score against WNY and if Buquete capitalizes on her opportunities, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Independence win this one.

Finding the right fit for a player and a team

With Atlanta signing and releasing players en masse, I’m thinking about how more pro teams can replicate what Philadelphia do in terms of signing players.
Philadelphia are arguably the best in WPS at getting players who fit in Riley’s system and style of play. They look for and sign hard-working, tough players. Playing hard, by the way, is a skill that has to be learned.
It’s always satisfying to watch a team have a strategy for building a team, then create a plan for executing that strategy.
When evaluating players, it’s more than simply looking at their speed, size, shooting ability, defensive ability, etc. A player’s overall effectiveness depends, in great part, on the system she will be playing in. The team’s identity, style of play, attacking and defensive philosophies, etc.
Teams must take all of this into consideration when identifying and signing players.

Post season needs for Sky Blue and Atlanta

Thinking about what Atlanata and Sky Blue need to do this off-season.
Defensively, Atlanta isn’t bad. With everyone healthy their back four can compete. Playing Chalupny in her natural position would only strengthen Atlanta defensively and add to their attacking options.
Atlanta’s difficulties come from poor midfield and it needs revamping. Assuming that the US will qualify for London, LLoyd will not be available much next season and her league performances in the last 3 years coupled with her salary, should make her surplus to requirements at any prudent club.
Adding an experienced striker can have immediate effect on Atlanta’s poor scoring record.

As for the Sky Blue, they need inside help and an experienced international center back who can organize and who understands how to control space would help. They have acceptable midfield/forward personnel and Adriana, with one season under her belt, will be more productive in 2012.

Wrong personnel strategy

So the US Soccer has hired Steve Swanson as U20 WNT coach. This hiring indicates to me that US Soccer is only semi serious about women’s football and does not deem player education and development full time responsibilities. Having college coaches in charge of national team programs is very difficult. You can’t serve two masters and while I am sure that Swanson is well qualified, when you devote part time effort and part time commitment you will get part time results.
If the objective is to be the best in the world, to develop world and Olympic champions, coaching a national team at any level must be a full time job. And the fact that this is not self evident to US Soccer, Ellis and Heinrichs surprises me.

Are WPS, WPSL, W-League and universities developing an American Necib?

The first task for Sundhage, as she prepares for Olympic qualifiers, will be to not allow the lingering euphoria from its dramatic win over Brazil to cloud reality.
I have previously asked how long this current USA squad can continue to perform at the top level, with the average age of the long serving players considerably higher than that of close rivals. At London Olympics Rampone will be 37, LePeibelt 30, Boxx 35, Lloyd 30, Wambach 32, Lindsey 32.
With the intensity and leadership of Wambach, it’s unlikely that the US will have any trouble keeping the hunger and the excitement, but how will the veterans cope with the rigors of another year and can the youngsters continue their technical and tactical development on par with the best and brighest in rest of the world?
The team had just finished second in the World Cup and the ever optimistic Sundhage will surely remain convinced that her current squad can deliver gold medal in London. She is unlikely to institute major rebuilding in the next 12 months, but even if she wanted to her options would be limited.
What US players, at this point, have adequate international experience to replace Boxx or Lloyd in midfield? There just are not many, if any, and its not Sundhage’s fault.
Are WPS, WPSL, W-League and universities developing an American Necib to replace Lloyd? How about a Sakaguchi or a Kulig ready to step into Boxx’s shoes?
France’s Necib has a very similar role and responsibilities with Lyon as with France. There is continuity of approach and methodology.
What is Tobin Heath’s position and role with her club and when she represents the US?
Is there a cooperation between the WNT and American clubs in grooming future national team players? Is there a common vision?
Nobody questions the resolve and athleticism of this team, its superb. But as France, Japan and other countries have emphatically demonstrated the future of women’s football will be based on technical mastery, superb positional play, intelligent spacing, creative movement and play between the lines, and savvy control of tempo.
Direct play and enthusiasm still have its role in the women’s game but most international coaches understand the trend and are preparing accordingly.

Japan win

So Japan are the World Cup champions.
They played simple, on the ground, in control of short passes from player to player.
But USA played well, and especially in the first 25 minutes, and created major problems for Japan with their movement.
The under pressure Japan needed an outlet, somebody to hold it up and to alleviate the pressure. At times it was easy possession for the US. Its fair to say that except for wasteful finishing the US could have been winning 3-0 at half time.
Throughout the 90, USA were on the verge of a win but in the end by not finishing their chances, the US players started to feel frustration and when that happens, you lose confidence. We all know the rest.

No complaints about USA. The US players carried the shirt with pride. They gave all they had. I can can question some performances or the quality of football at times. However, I do not question the US commitment or work rate.
The players have responded to Pia and how she has been calm and positive. She has not ranted after poor performances, she has shown passion she has been very focused on the job in hand. Passion attracts itself. This USA team is full of that. Their biggest victory maybe in bringing attention to the women’s game in the US.

Can USA deliver again tomorrow? I believe the answer is no!

I will copy what I wrote after the US was defeated by Sweden.
“Once again, this result was not unexpected. Casual fans tend to overlook poor performances, such as v Colombia and Korea, as long as goals scored were spectacular. Few noticed that all three goals v COL were results of naïve mistakes by COL not of creativity or sustained possession and patient build up of the US team. The immediacy of Twitter in particular delivers purely emotional responses from fans and very little of realistic analysis. The quality of ESPN coverage, the sound bites, the highlights, cover-up the deficiencies in the team’s play.”

Constant approval, without objective criticism, devalues.
The US media and Twitter have collectively created expectations based not on technical and tactical reality but on make belief world in which desire and optimism are omni important. The exaggerated quality of the US WNT play created by emotional Twitter posts can distort objectivity and evaluation in ways that are hard to overcome.
In this current love fest, devoid of any rationality, it is unpopular to say it but USA are average and exciting match endings can’t obscure this fact. While there is no disputing that USA are hard working and committed, that they are athletic and have a great ‘never die attitude’, they simply were outplayed by decent Sweden, average Brazil and good France. Against Brazil and France, Abby Wambach has single-handedly dragged the US into the final. In this patriotic time it is unpopular to state the obvious and of all media pundits, only Brandi Chastain briefly addressed the US vulnerabilities. All others are merely cheer-leading.

So, can USA win this one?
After five, average performances, athleticism, team spirit, media frenzy, and Wambach will not be enough.
Japan’s technique and composure to beat USA.